Weekly report · 5 August 2026

6 pairs enter the entry zone — currency ranking, week of 5 August 2026

GBP ranks strongest and CAD weakest on this week's inputs. 6 pairs sit in the entry zone, where the macro direction is supported by price positioning.

Entered the entry zone: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, EURAUD, EURJPY, GBPAUD, NZDJPY

Ranking

Standardised score across forward real rate, rate path and current account. Change is against the previous week.

#	Currency	Score	Change	Rank move	Stance
1	GBP	0.898	—	—	Hawkish
2	JPY	0.552	—	—	Hawkish
3	USD	0.271	—	—	Hawkish
4	EUR	0.066	—	—	Hawkish
5	CHF	-0.259	—	—	Neutral
6	AUD	-0.384	—	—	Neutral
7	NZD	-0.491	—	—	Hawkish
8	CAD	-0.653	—	—	Neutral

Entry zone

Pairs where the macro direction and price positioning agreed at the end of the week.

Pair	Side	Gap	Price	1Y	10Y
GBPAUD	LONG	1.282	1.90766	21.5%	61.5%
NZDJPY	SHORT	1.043	92.823	74.2%	84.3%
AUDJPY	SHORT	0.936	111.314	82.5%	93.6%
AUDUSD	SHORT	0.655	0.70602	74.8%	57.3%
EURJPY	SHORT	0.487	182.177	66.8%	92.4%
EURAUD	LONG	0.45	1.63651	12.4%	49.7%

Biggest moves

Largest price changes over the week.

Pair	1W change	Price	Verdict
USDJPY	-3.74%	157.73199	WEAK
CADJPY	-3.09%	112.559	WAIT
AUDJPY	-2.6%	111.314	ENTRY ZONE
GBPJPY	-2.46%	212.36099	LATE
EURJPY	-2.35%	182.177	ENTRY ZONE

Decisions ahead

Policy meetings within two weeks of this report.

Bank	Currency	Date	In	Stance
RBA	AUD	2026-08-11	6d	Neutral
RBNZ	NZD	2026-08-19	14d	Hawkish

This report records what the model showed at the end of the week. It is not a forecast and not investment advice. Read the methodology for how the ranking is built and where it breaks down.

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