MacroParity was built by a trader, for traders.

After two decades trading currencies and commodities, one problem kept repeating: technical analysis tells you when, but not what. Which pair? Which direction? Most retail tools answer the first question and ignore the second.

This tool answers the second. It ranks major currencies on forward real rates, expected policy paths and external balances — then checks whether price has already moved to reflect that divergence.

It is deliberately narrow: eight currencies, three inputs, one question. No signals, no predictions, no promises.

What it does not do

It does not forecast prices. It does not tell you when to enter. It does not claim an edge it has not demonstrated — every signal the model produces is logged and kept, including the ones that fail.

Data

Macro inputs are compiled by hand from central bank publications and updated monthly, plus after each policy decision. Prices come from Yahoo Finance, end of day. Automated macro feeds were tested and rejected: the available public series were stale by months, and a wrong number entered silently is worse than no number.