Pair
AUDJPY
ENTRY ZONEMacro favours the quote currency and price sits high in range.
Price
111.332
-2.02% this week
Macro side
SHORT
gap 0.936
1Y position
82.6%
94.386 – 114.903
10Y position
93.6%
DEEP HIGH
The entry window stays open while price is above 107.722. 101.567 marks where the gap is considered priced in — a natural profit-taking area, not a forecast.
What would change this
Catalysts
The ranking recomputed assuming one central bank moves its rate path. Arithmetic on the inputs, not a forecast of how price reacts.
RBA · next decision 2026-08-11 (5d)
| Scenario | New gap | Side | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hikes 50bp | 0.102 | LONG | Direction flips |
| Hikes 25bp | 0.451 | SHORT | Signal holds |
| Holds, tone unchanged | 0.936 | SHORT | Signal holds |
| Signals a cut | 1.251 | SHORT | Signal holds |
| Cuts 50bp | 1.462 | SHORT | Signal holds |
BoJ · next decision 2026-09-18 (43d)
| Scenario | New gap | Side | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hikes 50bp | 1.428 | SHORT | Signal holds |
| Hikes 25bp | 1.224 | SHORT | Signal holds |
| Holds, tone unchanged | 0.936 | SHORT | Signal holds |
| Signals a cut | 0.479 | SHORT | Signal holds |
| Cuts 50bp | 0.098 | LONG | Direction flips |
Scenarios that would end this setup: RBA hikes 50bp → direction flips; BoJ cuts 50bp → direction flips. Everything else leaves the signal intact, though the gap changes.
Concentration
6 entry-zone pairs share a currency with AUDJPY: GBPAUD, NZDJPY, AUDJPY, AUDUSD, EURAUD, EURJPY. Taking several of them is one position expressed multiple times, not diversification.