MacroParity
Currency valuation & position framework
UPDATED 10 AUG 2026
PRICES · YAHOO FINANCE, EOD
What would change this

Catalysts

Pick a pair. The model recomputes the whole ranking assuming one central bank shifts its rate path by 50bp, 25bp, nothing, or the reverse — and shows whether the signal holds, falls below threshold, or flips direction. Arithmetic on the inputs, not a forecast of how price reacts.

GBPAUD

ENTRY ZONE
LONG · gap 1.142 · full pair page

BoE · next decision 2026-09-17 (38d)

ScenarioNew gapSideEffect
Hikes 50bp1.582LONGSignal holds
Hikes 25bp1.431LONGSignal holds
Holds, tone unchanged1.142LONGSignal holds
Signals a cut0.783LONGSignal holds
Cuts 50bp0.500LONGSignal holds

RBA · next decision 2026-08-11 (1d)

ScenarioNew gapSideEffect
Hikes 50bp0.423LONGSignal holds
Hikes 25bp0.783LONGSignal holds
Holds, tone unchanged1.142LONGSignal holds
Signals a cut1.362LONGSignal holds
Cuts 50bp1.474LONGSignal holds
No single policy move in this range flips the direction or pushes the gap below threshold. This reading rests on more than one decision.